{"id":5162,"date":"2024-03-25T06:49:24","date_gmt":"2024-03-24T22:49:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/?p=5162"},"modified":"2024-03-25T06:49:25","modified_gmt":"2024-03-24T22:49:25","slug":"%e6%8a%96%e9%9f%b3%e7%86%b1%e9%96%80%e7%9c%8b%e4%b8%ad%e5%9c%8b%e4%ba%ba%e6%b0%91%e5%bf%83%e8%81%b2-%e5%b0%8d%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e4%b8%8d%e6%bb%bf%e8%b6%85%e8%b6%8a%e7%8a%af%e5%8f%b0%e8%81%b2%e9%9f%b3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/?p=5162","title":{"rendered":"\u6296\u97f3\u71b1\u9580\u770b\u4e2d\u570b\u4eba\u6c11\u5fc3\u8072 \u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u6eff\u8d85\u8d8a\u72af\u53f0\u8072\u97f3"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u7f8e\u8ecd\u5370\u592a\u53f8\u4ee4\u90e8\u65e5\u524d\u7a31\u5317\u4eac\u5c07\u57282027\u5e74\u524d\u505a\u597d\u72af\u53f0\u6e96\u5099\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u6709\u6587\u7ae0\u5206\u6790\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6c11\u773e\u5c0d\u570b\u5167\u56f0\u9813\u7d93\u6fdf\u73fe\u5be6\u7684\u4e0d\u6eff\uff0c\u5df2\u958b\u59cb\u58d3\u904e\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u7684\u72af\u53f0\u8072\u97f3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u82f1\u570b\u66fc\u5fb9\u65af\u7279\u5927\u5b78\u66fc\u5fb9\u65af\u7279\u4e2d\u570b\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u300d\uff08Manchester China Institute\uff09\u300c\u970d\u65af\u6c83\u65af\u8a08\u756b\u300d\uff08Hallsworth\uff09\u7814\u7a76\u54e1\u738b\u6fe4\uff08Tao Wang\uff0c\u97f3\u8b6f\uff09\u5728\u300c\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u300d\uff08Foreign Policy\uff09\u96dc\u8a8c\u767c\u8868\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u5beb\u9053\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5916\u9577\u738b\u6bc5\u4eca\u5e741\u67089\u65e5\u5728\u6f14\u8aaa\u4e2d\u5f37\u8abf\u300c\u4e2d\u570b14\u5104\u5168\u9ad4\u4eba\u6c11\u9054\u6210\u8207\u53f0\u7063\u7d71\u4e00\u7684\u6c7a\u5fc3\u5805\u5b9a\u4e0d\u79fb\u300d\u3002\u4f46\u77ed\u5f71\u97f3\u5e73\u53f0\u300c\u6296\u97f3\u300d\u4e0a\u6700\u71b1\u9580\u7684\u56de\u61c9\u662f\u300c\u6211\u53cd\u6230\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u81ea\u885b\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9019\u7a2e\u53cd\u61c9\u6050\u975e\u4e2d\u5171\u6240\u6a02\u898b\uff1a\u6578\u4ee5\u842c\u8a08\u4e2d\u570b\u793e\u7fa4\u5a92\u9ad4\u7528\u6236\u8cea\u7591\u72af\u53f0\u4f5c\u6230\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u8868\u9054\u4e0d\u6eff\u3001\u5632\u8af7\u548c\u53cd\u6297\u3002\u4e00\u540d\u4f86\u81ea\u4e0a\u6d77\u7684\u7537\u5b50\u62b1\u6028\u300c\u8ab0\u8981\u53bb\u6253\u4ed7\uff1f\u6211\u6b7b\u4e86\u8ab0\u4f86\u4ed8\u6211\u7684\u623f\u8cb8\u8eca\u8cb8\uff1f\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u738b\u6bc5\u7684\u6f14\u8aaa\u5c07\u300c\u570b\u5bb6\u7d71\u4e00\u300d\u5b9a\u8abf\u70ba\u300c\u4e2d\u570b\u6838\u5fc3\u5229\u76ca\u300d\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u540d\u6e56\u5357\u7528\u6236\u53cd\u99c1\u300c\uff08\u4e2d\u570b\uff09\u6838\u5fc3\u5229\u76ca\u662f\u6bcf\u500b\u4e2d\u570b\u4eba\u90fd\u80fd\u7372\u5f97\u5e73\u7b49\u5c0d\u5f85\uff0c\u90fd\u80fd\u4eab\u6709\u8001\u4eba\u7167\u8b77\u548c\u5065\u5eb7\u91ab\u7642\u300d\uff1b\u4e00\u540d\u5c71\u6771\u6c11\u773e\u751a\u81f3\u8aaa\u300c\u53f0\u7063\u4eba\u9078\u64c7\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u6216\u8a31\u986f\u793a\u4e2d\u570b\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d70\u4e00\u689d\u4e0d\u4e00\u6a23\u7684\u8def\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u793e\u5a92\u7528\u6236\u7fa4\u7684\u60c5\u7dd2\u8207\u904e\u53bb\u53f0\u7063\u9078\u8209\u671f\u9593\u622a\u7136\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u81ea2016\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u6bcf\u6b21\u53f0\u7063\u5927\u9078\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7db2\u8def\u5e7e\u4e4e\u90fd\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u4e00\u6ce2\u652f\u6301\u6230\u722d\u7684\u71b1\u6f6e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7136\u800c\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u6c11\u9032\u9ee8\u8d0f\u5f97\u4eca\u5e741\u6708\u7e3d\u7d71\u5927\u9078\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e2d\u65b9\u662f\u4e00\u8a18\u7576\u982d\u68d2\u559d\uff0c\u5373\u53f0\u7063\u653f\u6cbb\u4eba\u7269\u548c\u9078\u6c11\u5c0d\u5317\u4eac\u7576\u5c40\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7d71\u4e00\u8a08\u756b\u4e0d\u611f\u8208\u8da3\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6b66\u7d71\u8ad6\u8abf\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u6c11\u9032\u9ee8\u52dd\u9078\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u717d\u52d5\u6230\u722d\u71b1\u6f6e\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u5df2\u53d7\u5230\u8cea\u7591\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u8f49\u8b8a\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u660e\u986f\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u653e\u7de9\u3002\u5728\u53f0\u7063\u8209\u884c\u5927\u9078\u4e4b\u969b\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6b63\u52aa\u529b\u89e3\u6c7a\u8d85\u904e20%\u7684\u9752\u5e74\u5931\u696d\u7387\u3001\u623f\u5e02\u92b7\u552e\u4e0b\u6ed145%\u7684\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca3\u5e74\u84b8\u767c6\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\u53f0\u7063\u5927\u9078\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u4e0d\u518d\u50cf\u524d\u5169\u6b21\u5927\u9078\u90a3\u6a23\u6fc0\u8d77\u4e2d\u570b\u4eba\u7684\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u7fa9\u53cd\u61c9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e00\u540d\u5929\u6d25\u4eba\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c\u771f\u6b63\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u2026\uff08\u53f0\u7063\uff09\u7368\u4e0d\u7368\u7acb\u548c\u8001\u767e\u59d3\u6c92\u95dc\u4fc2\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u5beb\u9053\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u773e\u60c5\u7dd2\u8f49\u8b8a\u80af\u5b9a\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u5169\u5cb8\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u4f46\u6216\u8a31\u4e0d\u61c9\u5c31\u6b64\u63a8\u8ad6\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u773e\u5c07\u5f37\u70c8\u53cd\u5c0d\u53f0\u6d77\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u7562\u7adf\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u7fa9\u4ecd\u6709\u57fa\u790e\u3002\u6b66\u7d71\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u72c2\u71b1\u6b63\u5728\u964d\u6eab\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u4e2d\u5171\u904e\u5ea6\u5ba3\u50b3\u537b\u6c92\u6709\u6eff\u8db3\u6b7b\u5fe0\u652f\u6301\u8005\u7684\u671f\u671b\uff1b\u4f46\u82e5\u672a\u4f86\u5728\u4fb5\u7565\u6027\u8a00\u8ad6\u5f8c\u7dca\u63a5\u8457\u51fa\u73fe\u8ecd\u4e8b\u884c\u52d5\uff0c\u6230\u722d\u71b1\u6f6e\u53ef\u80fd\u8f15\u6613\u518d\u6b21\u5f15\u71c3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u6700\u5f8c\u5beb\u9053\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u7d93\u6fdf\u6c92\u6709\u8d77\u8272\u3001\u4eba\u6c11\u751f\u6d3b\u4e0d\u597d\u904e\uff0c\u5c31\u7121\u6cd5\u4fdd\u8b49\u4e2d\u5171\u5229\u7528\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u7fa9\u7684\u4f01\u5716\u80fd\u767c\u63ee\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9084\u6703\u9762\u81e8\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u963b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u7bc7\u7531\u5316\u540d\u300c\u80e1\u99ac\u5361\u300d\uff08Markka Hu\uff09\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u54e1\u6295\u66f8\u300c\u5916\u4ea4\u5bb6\u300d\uff08The Diplomat\uff09\u96dc\u8a8c\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e2d\u570b\u63a8\u51fa\u300c\u60e0\u53f0\u653f\u7b56\u300d\u76fc\u62c9\u8fd1\u5169\u5cb8\u4eba\u6c11\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5546\u4eba\u56e0\u6b64\u6210\u7576\u524d\u5169\u5cb8\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u5229\u5bb3\u95dc\u4fc2\u4eba\u3002\u51fa\u65bc\u529b\u6c42\u7dad\u6301\u73fe\u72c0\u3001\u4fdd\u6709\u7d93\u6fdf\u5229\u591a\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u4f9d\u8cf4\u9032\u800c\u8f49\u8b8a\u70ba\u653f\u6cbb\u884c\u52d5\u4e3b\u7fa9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u6062\u5fa9\u6f22\u5510\u76db\u4e16\u7684\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8208\u8d77\uff0c\u4e3b\u5f35\u5c0d\u7d71\u4e00\u53f0\u7063\u63a1\u53d6\u66f4\u6fc0\u9032\u7acb\u5834\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u570b\u5167\u9019\u7a2e\u7d93\u6fdf\u5be6\u7528\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8207\u6fc0\u9032\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u7fa9\u4e26\u5b58\u7684\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u70ba\u5169\u5cb8\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u50b3\u7d71\u6558\u4e8b\u5e36\u4f86\u5fae\u5999\u7684\u6311\u6230\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u8a73\u76e1\u6aa2\u8996\u9019\u4e9b\u570b\u5167\u52d5\u614b\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u7b56\u8207\u5c0d\u53f0\u884c\u52d5\u6709\u4f55\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u5beb\u9053\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5229\u5bb3\u95dc\u4fc2\u4eba\u8207\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u5c0d\u6297\uff0c\u9810\u793a\u65e5\u5f8c\u4e2d\u570b\u4e0d\u540c\u793e\u6703\u7fa4\u9ad4\u9593\u7684\u885d\u7a81\u5c07\u60e1\u5316\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e9b\u5167\u90e8\u885d\u7a81\u5c07\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u5c0d\u5167\u3001\u5c0d\u5916\u653f\u7b56\u5e36\u4f86\u91cd\u5927\u6f5b\u5728\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u8ecd\u5370\u592a\u53f8\u4ee4\u90e8\u65e5\u524d\u7a31\u5317\u4eac\u5c07\u57282027\u5e74\u524d\u505a\u597d\u72af\u53f0\u6e96\u5099\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u6709\u6587\u7ae0\u5206\u6790\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6c11…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":5163,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_kad_blocks_custom_css":"","_kad_blocks_head_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_body_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_footer_custom_js":"","_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"_kadence_starter_templates_imported_post":false,"_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category--zh"],"taxonomy_info":{"category":[{"value":241,"label":"\u5934\u6761\u65f6\u653f+"}]},"featured_image_src_large":["https:\/\/cerpas.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf2.jpg",1023,575,false],"author_info":{"display_name":"Lui","author_link":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/?author=9"},"comment_info":"","category_info":[{"term_id":241,"name":"\u5934\u6761\u65f6\u653f+","slug":"%e5%a4%b4%e6%9d%a1%e6%97%b6%e6%94%bf-zh","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":241,"taxonomy":"category","description":"","parent":0,"count":38,"filter":"raw","cat_ID":241,"category_count":38,"category_description":"","cat_name":"\u5934\u6761\u65f6\u653f+","category_nicename":"%e5%a4%b4%e6%9d%a1%e6%97%b6%e6%94%bf-zh","category_parent":0}],"tag_info":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5162","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5162"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5162\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5164,"href":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5162\/revisions\/5164"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5163"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5162"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5162"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cerpas.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5162"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}